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            Branched glycerol dialkyl glycerol tetraethers (brGDGTs) are membrane-spanning lipids synthesized by bacteria in numerous substrates. The degree of methylation of the five methyl brGDGTs in both soils and lake sediments, described by the MBT′5Me index, is empirically related to surface atmospheric temperature. This relationship in lakes is generally assumed to reflect lake surface temperatures captured by brGDGT production in the water column and exported to lake sediments, and the MBT′5Me index has been applied to brGDGTs in lake sediment successions to reconstruct changes in temperature through time. We analyzed the relationship between MBT′5Me and the isomerization of brGDGTs (IR6Me) in globally distributed surficial lake sediments and demonstrated that the relationship, and calibrations, of MBT′5Me and temperature in middle and high latitude lakes are sensitive to incompletely understood factors related to IR6Me. IR6Me does not appear to track a non-thermal influence of brGDGT methylation in tropical lakes, but this could change as the data set is expanded. We address ongoing challenges in the application of the MBT′5Me paleothermometer in middle and high latitude lakes with new MBT′5Me-temperature calibrations based on grouping lakes by IR6Me. We demonstrate how IR6Me can distinguish samples with a significant non-thermal influence on MBT′5Me by targeting anomalously warm temperatures during the Last Glacial Maximum from newly analyzed piston and gravity core samples from Lake Baikal, Russia.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available March 1, 2026
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            Global herbicide-resistant weed populations continue rising due to selection pressures exerted by herbicides. Despite this, herbicides continue to be farmers’ preferred weed-control method due to cost and efficiency relative to physical or biological methods. However, weeds developing resistance to herbicides not only challenges crop production but also threatens ecosystem services by disrupting biodiversity, reducing soil health, and impacting water quality. Our objective was to develop a simulation model that captures the feedback between weed population dynamics, agricultural management, profitability, and farmer decision-making processes that interact in unique ways to reinforce herbicide resistance in weeds. After calibration to observed data and evaluation by subject matter experts, we tested alternative agronomic, mechanical, or intensive management strategies to evaluate their impact on weed population dynamics. Results indicated that standalone practices enhanced farm profitability in the short term but lead to substantial adverse ecological outcomes in the long term, indicated by elevated herbicide resistance (e.g., harm to non-target species, disrupting natural ecosystem functions). The most management-intensive test yielded the greatest weed control and farm profit, albeit with elevated residual resistant seed bank levels. We discuss these findings in both developed and developing-nation contexts. Future work requires greater connectivity of farm management and genetic-resistance models that currently remain disconnected mechanistically.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available December 1, 2025
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            Free, publicly-accessible full text available November 1, 2025
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            Global warming during the Last Glacial Termination was interrupted by millennial-scale cool intervals such as the Younger Dryas and the Antarctic Cold Reversal (ACR). Although these events are well characterized at high latitudes, their impacts at low latitudes are less well known. We present high-resolution temperature and hydroclimate records from the tropical Andes spanning the past ~16,800 y using organic geochemical proxies applied to a sediment core from Laguna Llaviucu, Ecuador. Our hydroclimate record aligns with records from the western Amazon and eastern and central Andes and indicates a dominant long-term influence of changing austral summer insolation on the intensity of the South American Summer Monsoon. Our temperature record indicates a ~4 °C warming during the glacial termination, stable temperatures in the early to mid-Holocene, and slight, gradual warming since ~6,000 y ago. Importantly, we observe a ~1.5 °C cold reversal coincident with the ACR. These data document a temperature change pattern during the deglaciation in the tropical Andes that resembles temperatures at high southern latitudes, which are thought to be controlled by radiative forcing from atmospheric greenhouse gases and changes in ocean heat transport by the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation.more » « less
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            Tropical mountain ecosystems hold immense ecological and economic importance, yet they face disproportionate risks from shifting tropical climates. For example, present-day montane vegetation of East Africa is characterized by different plant species that grow in and are restricted to certain elevations due to environmental tolerances. As climate changes and temperature/rainfall zones move on mountains, these species must rapidly adjust their ranges or risk extinction. Paleoenvironmental records offer valuable insights into past climate and ecosystem dynamics, aiding predictions for ongoing climate change impacts. In particular, warming and wetting in tropical East Africa during the mid-Holocene resulted in both lowland and highland forest expansion. However, the relative impacts of rainfall and temperature change on montane ecosystems along with the influence of lowland forest expansion on montane communities is not completely understood. We use fossil pollen to study the vegetation changes in two lakes at different altitudes in the Rwenzori Mountains, Uganda: Lake Mahoma (Montane Forest belt) and Upper Kachope Lake (Afroalpine belt). Further, using the newly relaunched African Pollen Database and recent temperature reconstructions, we provide a regional synthesis of vegetation changes in the Rwenzori and then compare this with changes observed from other equatorial East African montane sites (particularly Mt Kenya). In the early to mid-Holocene in the Rwenzori Mountains, trees common today in lowland forests dominated, driven largely by warmer temperatures. After 4000 years ago (4ka), Afromontane forest trees along with grasses progressively replaced lowland trees. Not all sites experienced identical transitions. For instance, at Lake Rutundu on Mt Kenya at the same elevation as Lake Mahoma, bamboo expansion preceded Afromontane forest growth, likely influenced by variations in fire. Variance partitioning indicates that each site responded differently to changes in temperature and rainfall. Therefore, these site-specific ecological responses underscore the importance of considering biogeographic legacies as management strategies are developed, despite similarities in modern ecology.more » « less
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            Free, publicly-accessible full text available December 1, 2025
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            In contrast to water and air, ice is the most dynamic enveloping medium and unique environment for volcanic eruptions. While all three environments influence volcanic activity and eruption products, the cryospheric eruption environment is unique because: 1) it supports rapid changes between those environments (i.e. subglacial, subaqueous, subaerial), 2) it promotes a wide range of eruption styles within a single eruption cycle (explosive, effusive), 3) it creates unique edifice-scale morphologies and deposits, and 4) it can modulate the timing and rates of magmatism. The distinctive products of cryospheric eruptions offer a robust means of tracking paleoclimate changes at the local, regional and global scale. We provide a framework for understanding the influence of the cryosphere on glaciovolcanic systems, landforms and deposits.more » « less
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